Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 10.597156 12.074591 13.631789 15.390301 17.315774 19.354875 21.672393
2025-08-03 8.498142 10.555011 12.860222 15.614640 18.795045 22.331011 26.537756
2025-08-10 6.695739 9.037559 11.818842 15.317575 19.551038 24.457750 30.521675
2025-08-17 5.368586 7.851674 10.966960 15.074728 20.256092 26.481451 34.426401
2025-08-24 4.404961 6.957383 10.328994 14.969627 21.043068 28.571473 38.445611
2025-08-31 3.645764 6.208139 9.764446 14.859068 21.754276 30.542350 42.348029
2025-09-07 3.240761 5.891425 9.728906 15.412465 23.318066 33.620793 47.725294
2025-09-14 2.768940 5.396770 9.373089 15.466189 24.177109 35.781643 51.963696
2025-09-21 2.244410 4.730587 8.680411 14.958546 24.197231 36.788690 54.681369
2025-09-28 1.812291 4.141784 8.029908 14.437251 24.133296 37.637929 57.171460
2025-10-05 1.689218 4.080497 8.206479 15.169380 25.898523 41.050726 63.214598
2025-10-12 1.629206 4.126247 8.556924 16.182894 28.109273 45.142991 70.285429
2025-10-19 1.536939 4.103344 8.799353 17.056492 30.176696 49.140957 77.401438
2025-10-26 1.347487 3.852222 8.618933 17.227908 31.178738 51.641431 82.491118
2025-11-02 1.114212 3.461897 8.144008 16.868811 31.330471 52.898811 85.843672
2025-11-09 0.926013 3.130896 7.737519 16.586047 31.572496 54.277437 89.385160
2025-11-16 0.782910 2.873796 7.439747 16.461156 32.045194 55.993917 93.433994
2025-11-23 0.660575 2.639229 7.157122 16.335744 32.498983 57.680495 97.463364
2025-11-30 0.612644 2.596009 7.264185 16.926423 34.158657 61.247668 104.337629
2025-12-07 0.529676 2.431642 7.093536 16.981996 34.911203 63.424195 109.178839
2025-12-14 0.419584 2.150071 6.628061 16.435739 34.601125 63.920199 111.494593
2025-12-21 0.327790 1.892072 6.177081 15.875046 34.226485 64.285398 113.599284
2025-12-28 0.315738 1.913840 6.392641 16.661154 36.255302 68.533114 121.711620